Trump Stock Trades Insider Trading Pattern
🔴 Abuse of Power ·
Apr–May 2026
Summary
An analysis published May 19, 2026 by The Conversation examined 1,341 Trump Truth Social posts over a 73-day window and found 15 distinct events with unusual market trading activity occurring minutes before Trump’s posts, including large-scale moves in oil futures, S&P 500 futures, and prediction markets. On March 23, 2026, more than $760 million in Brent and WTI crude oil futures changed hands in a two-minute window 15 minutes before Trump posted about an Iran ceasefire, oil then fell 11%. On April 7, at least 50 newly created Polymarket accounts placed winning bets on a U.S.-Iran ceasefire shortly before Trump announced the deal. On April 10, 2025 (separately), Trump posted ‘THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!!’ hours before announcing a tariff reversal that caused the S&P 500’s largest single-day gain in nearly 20 years and sent Trump Media stock up 22%. An OGE filing released May 14, 2026 disclosed 3,642 individual trades, between $220M and $750M in volume, from Trump’s brokerage account in the first quarter of 2026 alone. Senators Schumer, Warren, Wyden, and Schiff demanded state-level AG investigations. Researchers stated: ‘Our data doesn’t prove insider trading is taking place. But the pattern… is exactly what you’d expect to see if people with advance notice of the president’s posts were systematically positioning themselves before he hits post.‘